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Telecommunications
and network equipment and products appear to be insulated from
inflationary trends and the general slowdown in the economy. On the
contrary, capex is expected to receive a boost with the entry of new
telecom operators and expansion in networks of existing operators,
and the government's new 3G policy that gives BSNL and MTNL a head
start over the other players. And on the enterprise side, vendors are
reporting an increase in voice and conferencing activities as
corporates cut back on travel. In general, the business to business
space appears to be holding up well in the slowdown.
The
new 3G policy is likely to result in the deployment of next
generation wireless infrastructure and see a possible change in the
vendor supply chain that services the wireless infrastructure market.
Wimax had been approved as a 3G technology by the ITU in October last
year. India had supported this proposal and hence we are likely to
see Wimax deployment being permitted in India as part of the 3G
license. IP based architecture will result in major changes in the
design and roll out of wireless networks and with higher Internet
speeds on offer, wireless connectivity to laptops and other devices
will improve and provide relief to corporate travelers who today
have to struggle with relatively slow Internet access while on the
move. All our readers are already beginning to breathe easier!
At
some point the government will need to provide a migration path from
the existing cellular licenses to 3G licenses. While this discussion
may be a little premature, operators rolling out new networks or
expanding existing networks may like to look at the 3G network
architecture and make their equipment choices in a manner such that
the pain of migration to 3G over a period of time is minimized.
On
the enterprise side, CIOs and CTOs need to look at IP technologies
more closely, especially with the increasing deployment of IP
technologies at the carrier level as well. And the government in turn
needs to review the entire policy spectrum to make the implementation
of IP across enterprises, call centers, and carriers a reality. There
are today fairly draconian and outdated policies that place
restrictions, for example, on a call center delivering IP services.
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